Externalize the model
Move the decision out of working memory so hidden assumptions become inspectable.
A free Reality Map worksheet for consequential decisions. Use it when you are deciding alone, before asking other people, or when joining a Reality Skill group is not practical.
The worksheet forces several moves that are easy to skip when thinking in your head: separate evidence from interpretation, create real alternatives, use the outside view, make models compete, identify high-value unknowns, quantify your belief, precommit to update conditions and return later to compare prediction with outcome.
Move the decision out of working memory so hidden assumptions become inspectable.
Keep facts, observations, interpretations, assumptions and unknowns separate.
Create a competing model and specify evidence that would distinguish them.
Identify the one missing fact most likely to change the action - and what is no longer worth learning.
Record confidence, update triggers and review date before hindsight rewrites the story.
Use explicit stopping rules for high stakes, self-interest, tacit information and framing risk.
Take 20–45 minutes for an important decision. For low-stakes reversible decisions, stop much earlier.
Start with the 8–12 minute core path. Use the deeper fields only when the stakes and irreversibility justify more work.
Capture the instinct before the method changes it. There are no wrong answers and nothing leaves your browser.
A vague problem creates vague thinking. Write the choice, deadline and objective in operational terms.
This is the center of the worksheet. Do not let interpretations quietly become facts.
A good decision process does not merely strengthen the leading story. It asks what else could explain the same evidence.
Check any condition that applies. The worksheet does not tell you to join a group; it tells you where independent outside information may have unusually high value.
This compares the information you captured. It does not claim the outcome will be better; reality still gets the last word.
Save this snapshot locally, return after the outcome, and compare process completeness across decisions. Nothing is sent to Reality Skill.
Reality Skill does not send your decision anywhere. These buttons only generate text in your browser. You choose whether to copy it into ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, a local model, or another AI.
Use AI after your own first view. It is most useful for finding contradictions, missing evidence, competing explanations, failure modes and questions you have not asked. It should not replace first-hand experience, factual verification or the final human decision. Any external claim that could change your action must be independently checked.
Privacy: entries are saved only in this browser using local storage. They are not submitted to Reality Skill. Use Clear to remove them from this browser.
If the worksheet reveals a strong conflict of interest, a framing problem, missing tacit experience or several unresolved models, get an independent outside view. Ask the other person to form their view before seeing your preferred answer.
The Reality Skill circle adds independent human signals, first-hand experience, competing models, and later outcome review. The first Minsk cohort starts on 15 September and meets seven times every two weeks. The online group is still forming and will begin once a compatible cohort has assembled.